Cape Verde
0 - 1
Burkina Faso

Tavares (36'), Fortes (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bande (39')
Toure (83')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cape Verde 1-1 Burkina Faso

Cape Verde know that avoiding defeat here would put them in pole position to make it through to the last 16, while Burkina Faso will be desperate to come away with all three points. We expect a feisty and tense affair with both teams having to settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Burkina Faso
46%	25.18%	28.81%

Both teams to score 54.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14%

48.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04%

70.96%

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74%

21.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82%

54.18%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02%

30.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72%

67.28%

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 46%

Burkina Faso 28.81%

Draw 25.17%

Cape Verde	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.51% Total : 46%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.81%