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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
BF

Algeria
2 - 2
Burkina Faso

Mahrez (21'), Feghouli (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanogo (37'), Dayo (84' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
AlgeriaDrawBurkina Faso
63.11%23.16%13.73%
Both teams to score 39.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.21%57.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48%78.52%
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04%17.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2%48.8%
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.9%52.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.93%86.07%
Score Analysis
    Algeria 63.1%
    Burkina Faso 13.73%
    Draw 23.15%
AlgeriaDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 16.06%
2-0 @ 13.79%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 5.15%
4-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 63.1%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.1%
1-2 @ 3.42%
0-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 13.73%

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