Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.