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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
ZN

Tunisia
3 - 1
Zambia

Laidouni (18'), Drager (31'), Maaloul (43')
Khazri (62')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sakala (80')
Mwape (15'), Chiluya (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawZambia
54.54%23.53%21.92%
Both teams to score 52.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39%47.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19%69.81%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66%17.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28%47.72%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95%36.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17%72.83%
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 54.54%
    Zambia 21.92%
    Draw 23.53%
TunisiaDrawZambia
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.6%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.54%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.92%

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