Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.94%) and 3-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nigeria | Draw | Lesotho |
77.12% ( -0.02) | 15.9% ( 0.02) | 6.98% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 36.46% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.76% ( -0.11) | 47.24% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.53% ( -0.1) | 69.46% ( 0.1) |
Nigeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.62% ( -0.04) | 10.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.11% ( -0.08) | 33.89% ( 0.07) |
Lesotho Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.68% ( -0.08) | 59.31% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.7% ( -0.04) | 90.29% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Nigeria | Draw | Lesotho |
2-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 77.1% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.9% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.98% |
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