SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brommapojkarna win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Brommapojkarna |
43.27% ( 0.14) | 25.97% ( 0.05) | 30.76% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( -0.27) | 51.25% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( -0.23) | 73.09% ( 0.23) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( -0.05) | 23.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( -0.07) | 57.6% ( 0.07) |
| Brommapojkarna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.27) | 30.81% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.92% ( -0.31) | 67.08% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Brommapojkarna |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.76% |
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