SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 82.21%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Degerfors win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Degerfors |
82.21% ( -0.3) | 11.88% ( 0.19) | 5.91% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.33% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.97% ( -0.43) | 32.03% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.4% ( -0.51) | 53.6% ( 0.51) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.19% ( -0.14) | 5.8% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.68% ( -0.4) | 22.32% ( 0.4) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.12% ( 0.04) | 51.88% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.07% ( 0.02) | 85.93% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 82.2% | 1-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 11.88% | 0-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.91% |
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