Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Degerfors | Draw | Varnamo |
39.98% ( -6.52) | 26.3% ( 1.03) | 33.72% ( 5.49) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.26% ( -2.17) | 51.74% ( 2.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( -1.92) | 73.51% ( 1.92) |
Degerfors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -4.11) | 25.44% ( 4.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.73% ( -5.98) | 60.26% ( 5.97) |
Varnamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% ( 2.69) | 29.07% ( -2.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% ( 3.2) | 64.99% ( -3.21) |
Score Analysis |
Degerfors | Draw | Varnamo |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.72) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -1.16) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.87) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -1) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.51) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1.19) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.55) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.62) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.72% |
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