SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Sirius |
41.68% ( 0.02) | 25.68% | 32.64% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( -0) | 49.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0) | 71.44% ( 0.01) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0.01) | 23.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( 0.02) | 57.55% ( -0.01) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.01) | 28.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.02) | 64.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Sirius |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.64% |
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