SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 6.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Degerfors |
81.83% ( 0.52) | 11.74% ( -0.29) | 6.43% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.53) | 28.58% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.53% ( 0.65) | 49.47% ( -0.65) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.79% ( 0.19) | 5.21% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.4% ( 0.56) | 20.6% ( -0.56) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.23) | 47.59% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.07% ( -0.17) | 82.93% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.9% Total : 81.82% | 1-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.84% Total : 11.74% | 1-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 6.43% |
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