SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Hammarby |
49.96% ( 0.36) | 23.89% ( -0.03) | 26.14% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.13) | 45.08% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.13) | 67.42% ( 0.12) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( 0.09) | 18.11% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( 0.15) | 49.06% ( -0.16) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.33) | 31.01% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.38) | 67.32% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 26.14% |
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