SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helsingborg win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helsingborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helsingborg | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
42.86% ( -0.22) | 26.31% ( -0.03) | 30.82% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.39% ( 0.2) | 52.61% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( 0.17) | 74.26% ( -0.17) |
| Helsingborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.02) | 24.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.26% ( -0.03) | 58.74% ( 0.03) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( 0.28) | 31.46% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( 0.32) | 67.84% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helsingborg | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.82% |
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