SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 76.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 8.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 1-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
76.1% ( 0.38) | 15.2% ( -0.06) | 8.69% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0.84) | 37.66% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.1% ( -0.91) | 59.9% ( 0.91) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.75% ( -0.12) | 8.25% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.16% ( -0.29) | 28.84% ( 0.29) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( -1.29) | 48.62% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( -0.95) | 83.68% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.25)1-0 @ 10% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.34% Total : 76.09% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.2% | 0-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
