SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 23 | -16 | 24 |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 21 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 22 | -23 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Kalmar | 23 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | Malmo | 22 | 9 | 37 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 22 | 10 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Helsingborg had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Helsingborg win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helsingborg | Draw | Malmo |
21.58% ( -0.54) | 24.4% ( -0.03) | 54.02% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.74% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.48% ( -0.44) | 51.52% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( -0.39) | 73.32% ( 0.39) |
| Helsingborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.78) | 38.59% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( -0.75) | 75.34% ( 0.75) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0.05) | 19% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( 0.08) | 50.55% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helsingborg | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.58% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.21)1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.01% |
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