Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 21

Sep 4, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Boras Arena

Elfsborg
3 - 2
Malmo

Baidoo (11' pen., 73'), Romer (79')
Larsson (43'), Alm (56'), Frick (57'), Aron Gudjohnsen (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kiese Thelin (42', 65')
Nielsen (1'), Sejdiu (15'), Christiansen (45+1')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Malmo
29.26% ( 0)	23.79% ( -0)	46.96% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.36% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.59% (

0.02)

42.41% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18% (

0.02)

64.82% (

-0.02)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

0.01)

27.37% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16% (

0.02)

62.84% (

-0.01)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

0.01)

18.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

0.02)

49.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 29.26%

Malmo 46.96%

Draw 23.78%

Elfsborg	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 7.13% 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.26%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 46.96%