SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Sirius | 20 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 | Elfsborg | 20 | 6 | 24 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 20 | -5 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | AIK Fotboll | 19 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | Malmo | 20 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | IFK Goteborg | 20 | 9 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Malmo |
29.26% ( 0) | 23.79% ( -0) | 46.96% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.59% ( 0.02) | 42.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( 0.02) | 64.82% ( -0.02) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.01) | 27.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( 0.02) | 62.84% ( -0.01) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.01) | 18.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( 0.02) | 49.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 46.96% |
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