SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Varnamo | 22 | -11 | 25 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping | 22 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 22 | -15 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Malmo | 22 | 9 | 37 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 22 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 22 | 10 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Kalmar |
41.24% ( 0.08) | 24.69% ( 0.11) | 34.07% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( -0.58) | 44.6% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( -0.56) | 66.97% ( 0.56) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.21) | 21.65% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( -0.32) | 54.78% ( 0.32) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0.39) | 25.42% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( -0.53) | 60.24% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.07% |
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