Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
