Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
