SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Varnamo |
47.46% ( 0.73) | 23.5% ( -0.19) | 29.04% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% ( 0.58) | 41.24% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.58) | 63.64% ( -0.59) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.51) | 17.61% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( 0.88) | 48.19% ( -0.88) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0.07) | 26.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( -0.09) | 62.26% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.46% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.04% |
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