SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
33.82% ( -0.12) | 25.79% ( -0.05) | 40.38% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( 0.17) | 49.59% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( 0.16) | 71.61% ( -0.15) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( 0.01) | 27.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( 0.01) | 63.6% ( -0.01) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( 0.17) | 24.26% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( 0.23) | 58.62% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.38% |
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