SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Kalmar win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Malmo |
16.83% ( -0.32) | 21.39% ( -0.02) | 61.78% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( -0.46) | 45.68% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.44) | 68.01% ( 0.44) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.54% ( -0.66) | 40.46% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.93% ( -0.6) | 77.07% ( 0.6) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.75% ( -0.05) | 14.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.99% ( -0.09) | 42.01% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.83% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.94% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.11% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 61.77% |
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