SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Varnamo |
37.38% ( -0.03) | 25.61% ( -0.03) | 37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( 0.12) | 48.45% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( 0.11) | 70.58% ( -0.11) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.04) | 25.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( 0.05) | 60.12% ( -0.05) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.09) | 25.55% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( 0.12) | 60.41% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37% |
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