Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Varnamo
37.38% ( -0.03)	25.61% ( -0.03)	37% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

0.12)

48.45% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

0.11)

70.58% (

-0.11)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.04)

25.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

0.05)

60.12% (

-0.05)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.09)

25.55% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.12)

60.41% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 37.38%

Varnamo 37%

Draw 25.61%

Kalmar	Draw	Varnamo
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.38%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37%