Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.

Result
Degerfors	Draw	Kalmar
28.05%	23.68% ( 0)	48.26% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

-0)

42.72% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

-0)

65.12% (

0.01)

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63%

28.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

-0)

64.11% (

0.01)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

17.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36%

48.64% (

Score Analysis

Degerfors 28.05%

Kalmar 48.26%

Draw 23.68%

Degerfors	Draw	Kalmar
2-1 @ 6.93% 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.05%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.43% 1-4 @ 2.34% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.26%