SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
14.59% ( 0.42) | 19.61% ( 0.52) | 65.79% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( -1.47) | 42.13% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( -1.49) | 64.53% ( 1.5) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.34) | 41.22% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( -0.3) | 77.75% ( 0.3) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.03% ( -0.68) | 11.97% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.61% ( -1.46) | 37.39% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.59% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.61% | 0-2 @ 11.11% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.41)1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.87% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.57% Total : 65.78% |
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