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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Halmstads BK win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Halmstads BK |
59.46% ( -0.05) | 22.47% ( -0.06) | 18.08% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.43) | 48.21% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( 0.39) | 70.37% ( -0.38) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.13) | 15.84% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.97% ( 0.24) | 45.03% ( -0.23) |
| Halmstads BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.39) | 40.47% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.93% ( 0.35) | 77.08% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Halmstads BK |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.08% |
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