SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
55% ( 6.52) | 22.89% ( -1.37) | 22.1% ( -5.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( 1.22) | 44.65% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( 1.17) | 67.01% ( -1.17) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 2.89) | 16.11% ( -2.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( 5.03) | 45.53% ( -5.03) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( -3.64) | 34.23% ( 3.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( -4.1) | 70.92% ( 4.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 9.19% ( 1.18)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.74)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 1.16)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.56)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.71)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.27)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.32)Other @ 2.41% Total : 55% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.64) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.97) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.99)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.91)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.48)Other @ 2.14% Total : 22.1% |
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