SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
48.29% ( 0.01) | 25.44% ( -0.01) | 26.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( 0.03) | 51.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0.02) | 73.34% ( -0.02) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.02) | 21.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( 0.03) | 54.33% ( -0.02) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( 0.01) | 34.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% ( 0.01) | 71.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.26% |
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