SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 7.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 1-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 0-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Sundsvall |
77.37% ( -0.01) | 14.7% ( 0.01) | 7.93% |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.96% ( -0.03) | 38.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.7% ( -0.03) | 60.3% ( 0.03) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.94% ( -0.01) | 8.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.64% ( -0.02) | 28.36% ( 0.02) |
| Sundsvall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.33% ( -0.01) | 50.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.88% ( -0.01) | 85.12% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Sundsvall |
| 2-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 77.36% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 14.7% | 0-1 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 7.93% |
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