SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Kalmar |
55.49% ( 0.32) | 23.42% ( -0.14) | 21.09% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( 0.34) | 48.09% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( 0.31) | 70.25% ( -0.31) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 0.24) | 17.18% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% ( 0.42) | 47.43% ( -0.42) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.01) | 37.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( 0.01) | 73.92% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.48% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.09% |
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