SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Malmo |
| 24.69% | 23.39% | 51.93% |
| Both teams to score 56.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% | 44.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% | 66.49% |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% | 31.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.92% | 68.08% |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% | 17.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.86% | 47.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% 1-0 @ 6.19% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-1 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 8.45% 1-3 @ 5.74% 0-3 @ 4.99% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.54% 0-4 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.93% |
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