Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
