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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
43.98% ( 0.52) | 26.18% ( 0.15) | 29.85% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( -0.88) | 52.46% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( -0.76) | 74.13% ( 0.77) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.13) | 23.73% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( -0.19) | 57.86% ( 0.2) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.93) | 32.07% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( -1.07) | 68.55% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.85% |
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