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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
45.5% ( -0.07) | 27.16% ( 0.05) | 27.34% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% ( -0.18) | 57.39% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( -0.14) | 78.21% ( 0.14) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.11) | 25.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( -0.15) | 59.88% ( 0.15) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.09) | 36.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% ( -0.08) | 73.42% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.34% |
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