SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Degerfors |
59.41% ( -0.02) | 20.74% ( 0.01) | 19.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.02) | 37.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.02) | 60.04% ( 0.02) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( -0.01) | 12.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.64% ( -0.02) | 38.36% ( 0.02) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0) | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( -0) | 68.99% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.41% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.85% |
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