SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Hammarby |
44.57% ( 0) | 24.69% | 30.75% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.13% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.01) | 45.74% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( -0) | 68.06% ( 0) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0) | 20.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0) | 53.16% ( -0) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.01) | 28.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( -0.01) | 63.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.83% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.75% |
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