Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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