SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 79.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 7.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
79.24% ( -0.07) | 13.27% ( 0.07) | 7.49% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.66% ( -0.36) | 32.34% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.43) | 53.96% ( 0.43) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.57% ( -0.08) | 6.42% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.94% ( -0.24) | 24.06% ( 0.25) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.27) | 47.66% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.02% ( -0.2) | 82.98% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 79.23% | 1-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.27% | 1-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 7.49% |
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