SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Malmo |
20.62% ( 0.05) | 22.56% ( 0.07) | 56.82% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( -0.21) | 45.01% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.2) | 67.36% ( 0.21) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.07) | 35.85% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.37% ( -0.07) | 72.63% ( 0.08) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( -0.11) | 15.62% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.38% ( -0.21) | 44.62% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.62% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.81% |
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