SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Elfsborg |
18.92% ( -0.05) | 22.71% ( -0.02) | 58.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52% ( 0.03) | 48% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.83% ( 0.03) | 70.17% ( -0.03) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( -0.03) | 39.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( -0.03) | 76.08% ( 0.03) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0.03) | 16.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.43% ( 0.06) | 45.57% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.92% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 11.59% 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 58.37% |
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