SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Elfsborg |
23.43% ( -0.04) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 51.85% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.06) | 50.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( -0.06) | 72.81% ( 0.06) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( -0.08) | 36.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% ( -0.08) | 73.28% ( 0.07) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( -0.01) | 19.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.42% ( -0.02) | 51.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.43% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.85% |
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