SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Talleres |
29.46% ( -0.12) | 27.56% ( -0.04) | 42.97% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.11% ( 0.1) | 57.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.4% ( 0.08) | 78.6% ( -0.08) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( -0.04) | 35.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% ( -0.04) | 71.97% ( 0.04) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.13) | 26.68% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( 0.17) | 61.93% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.46% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.97% |
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