SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Colon had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Colon |
| 55.24% | 25.88% ( 0.03) | 18.88% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.99% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.23% ( -0.16) | 59.77% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.94% ( -0.12) | 80.06% ( 0.12) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( -0.07) | 21.78% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.02% ( -0.1) | 54.98% ( 0.1) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.68% ( -0.14) | 46.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.04% ( -0.11) | 81.96% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 15.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.88% |
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