SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldosivi win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldosivi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Banfield win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Banfield |
37.34% ( 0.13) | 28.81% ( 0.01) | 33.85% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.74% ( -0.05) | 61.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.81% ( -0.04) | 81.19% ( 0.04) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( 0.06) | 31.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( 0.06) | 67.94% ( -0.06) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( -0.13) | 33.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( -0.14) | 70.49% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.84% |
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