SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Aldosivi |
48.89% ( 0.31) | 27.52% ( 0.17) | 23.58% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.06% ( -0.92) | 60.94% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.05% ( -0.7) | 80.95% ( 0.69) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( -0.26) | 25.11% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( -0.36) | 59.81% ( 0.36) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.02% ( -1) | 41.98% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.58% ( -0.88) | 78.41% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.58% |
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