SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldosivi win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldosivi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldosivi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Barracas Central |
42.97% ( -1.31) | 26.39% ( -0.05) | 30.64% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( 0.76) | 52.99% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.64) | 74.59% ( -0.64) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.31) | 24.46% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( -0.44) | 58.9% ( 0.44) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( 1.38) | 31.78% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( 1.55) | 68.21% ( -1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.64% |
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