SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Aldosivi |
72.71% ( -0.12) | 17.04% ( 0.1) | 10.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.4) | 41.32% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.4) | 63.72% ( 0.4) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.04% ( -0.13) | 9.96% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.08% ( -0.31) | 32.92% ( 0.31) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.22) | 47.82% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.9% ( -0.16) | 83.1% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 72.7% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.04% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 10.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
