SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
48.29% ( -0.08) | 27.57% ( 0.06) | 24.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( -0.18) | 60.69% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( -0.14) | 80.76% ( 0.14) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.12) | 25.29% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( -0.16) | 60.06% ( 0.16) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.09) | 41.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( -0.08) | 77.82% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 24.15% |
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