SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Estudiantes |
54.28% ( 0.02) | 25.35% ( -0.01) | 20.37% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( 0.02) | 56.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( 0.02) | 77.38% ( -0.02) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.02) | 20.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( 0.03) | 53.44% ( -0.02) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.38% ( 0) | 42.62% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.03% ( 0.01) | 78.97% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.37% |
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