Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
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