SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
38.47% ( -4.05) | 30.5% ( 1.94) | 31.03% ( 2.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.38% ( -4.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.04% ( -5.43) | 66.96% ( 5.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.76% ( -3.85) | 85.24% ( 3.86) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( -5.16) | 33.81% ( 5.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( -6.01) | 70.47% ( 6.01) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( -1.38) | 39% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% ( -1.33) | 75.72% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.67)2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.93)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.71)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.79)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.43)Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 13.18% ( 2.41)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.59)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.49% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 1.88) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.69)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.53% Total : 31.03% |
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