SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
40.28% ( -0.5) | 28.56% ( 0.02) | 31.16% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.16% ( 0.06) | 60.84% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% ( 0.04) | 80.87% ( -0.04) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -0.26) | 29.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( -0.32) | 65.59% ( 0.32) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( 0.39) | 35.52% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.71% ( 0.4) | 72.28% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.16% |
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