Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
