Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
